The Application of SOFM Fuzzy Neural Network in Project Cost Estimate
نویسندگان
چکیده
Applications of neural network were widely used in construct project cost estimate. Aim at handling weakness of poor convergence and insufficient forecast, an improved fuzzy neural network method based on SOFM (self-organizing feature map) was proposed to replace the fashionable T-S fuzzy neural network. The method illustrated how to apply SOFM to improve the fault such as poor convergence and insufficient forecast. After optimizing of T-S fuzzy neural network model, construct project cost estimate model had been built up. Finally, the model was set up with the purpose of comparing generalization ability by 18 examples and 2 testing samples. Comparing the simulation, a positive result was found that SOFM fuzzy neural network had a better performance in reducing the forecast error and iterating times than BP, and GA-BP. Therefore, this model is fit for handling construct project cost estimate.
منابع مشابه
Effects of Project Uncertainties on Nonlinear Time-Cost Tradeoff Profile
This study presents the effects of project uncertainties on nonlinear time-cost tradeoff (TCT) profile of real life engineering projects by the fusion of fuzzy logic and artificial neural network (ANN) models with hybrid meta-heuristic (HMH) technique, abridged as Fuzzy-ANN-HMH. Nonlinear time-cost relationship of project activities is dealt with ANN models. ANN models are then integrated with ...
متن کاملProject Time and Cost Forecasting using Monte Carlo simulation and Artificial Neural Networks
The aim of this study is to present a new method to predict project time and cost under uncertainty. Assuming that what happens in projects implementation which is expressed in the form of Earned Value Management (EVM) indicators is primarily related to the nature of randomness or unreliability, in this study, by using Monte Carlo simulation, and assuming a specific distribution for the time an...
متن کاملConstruction cost estimation of spherical storage tanks: artificial neural networks and hybrid regression—GA algorithms
One of the most important processes in the early stages of construction projects is to estimate the cost involved. This process involves a wide range of uncertainties, which make it a challenging task. Because of unknown issues, using the experience of the experts or looking for similar cases are the conventional methods to deal with cost estimation. The current study presents data-driven metho...
متن کاملUtilizing a new feed-back fuzzy neural network for solving a system of fuzzy equations
This paper intends to offer a new iterative method based on articial neural networks for finding solution of a fuzzy equations system. Our proposed fuzzied neural network is a ve-layer feedback neural network that corresponding connection weights to output layer are fuzzy numbers. This architecture of articial neural networks, can get a real input vector and calculates its corresponding fuzzy o...
متن کاملForecasting Gold Price Changes: Application of an Equipped Artificial Neural Network
The forecast of fluctuations and prices is the major concern in financial markets. Thus, developing an accurate and robust forecasting decision model is critically favorable to the investors. As gold has shown a special capability to smooth inflation fluctuations, governors use gold as a price controlling lever. Thus, more information about future gold price trends will help to make the firm de...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- JSW
دوره 6 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2011